Off the Charts: USD/JPY 15-minute Trend Shift Could Mean Yen Will Weaken Again

Thursday, Apr 14, 2011

The USD/JPY remains in a bullish Directional Bias on the daily chart as the yen continues its rally against the dollar. The U.S. Dollar Index sunk below 75.00 as price have continued the slide lower in the downtrend that has consistently seen selling pressure between the 20 period SMA and 34 period EMA low.

 

The daily USD/JPY tests buying support at the 34EMA Wave as the market trend has maintained its bullish Directional Bias.

*Results are not guaranteed, individual experiences may vary. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

The Thursday session low at 82.95 shows that there is buying support at the major psychological level which extends five pips above and below the “00”. Since prices have rebounded back above 83.00, there is a intraday rally that is beginning to show near-term strength across the five and 15-minute time frames. The upside hurdle will be the 83.50 level.

Watch for pullbacks on the 15-minute time frame at 83.36 for swing buying opportunities and as long as prices can maintain the “twelve to two o’clock” angle of the Wave, there daily chart could have made the correction that will now allow the overall uptrend to resume.

 

The 23.6% Fibonacci Retracement on the daily USD/JPY level is an important hurdle for the uptrend continuation.

*Results are not guaranteed, individual experiences may vary. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

The dominant sentiment, momentum, and trend is still bullish on the daily chart, therefore I believe any shorts entries should be limited to the five, 15, and 30-minute time frames. Consider however that the five and 15-minute time frames are in uptrends and the 30-minute is currently neutral. As long as prices can maintain support near-term above 83.20 look for intraday upside continuation. The 83.00 level will be important to the daily trend as it is not only a whole number level but also where the 20 period SMA is waiting.

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Posted By: 

Raghee Horner

Raghee Horner, chief currency analyst for IBFX, provides her personal daily trading tips and insights through Dailyforextradingedge.com. An experienced trader with over fifteen years in the markets, Raghee is the co-founder of EZ2Trade Software and has taught her brand of technical analysis and charting strategies to students all over the world. She is an international author and has taught currencies, futures, and equities trading for over a decade.
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